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June 22 July 22 September 15 Next Year Never « Created by: Old Salt on: Jun 9^th, 2020 at 1:56pm »

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Covid 19 Updates (Read 56542 times)

Old Salt Inukshuk Offline Posts: 4871 Location: Crossville, TN Joined: Jun 17^th, 2004	Covid 19 Updates Mar 9^th, 2020 at 7:49pm
	(You need to *Login* or *Register* to view media files and links) This link is in reference to Copia. I think we can all benefit from information sharing on caronavirus. We especially appreciate information from any medical professionals who may play here.


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Old Salt Inukshuk Offline Posts: 4871 Location: Crossville, TN Joined: Jun 17^th, 2004	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #1 - Mar 10^th, 2020 at 7:58pm
	(You need to *Login* or *Register* to view media files and links) Tuesday, March 10 update.


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azalea Inukshuk Offline Posts: 1084 Location: North Carolina Joined: Jan 13^th, 2004	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #2 - Mar 21^st, 2020 at 7:58pm
	Old Salt wrote on Mar 9^th, 2020 at 7:49pm: I think we can all benefit from information sharing on caronavirus. We especially appreciate information from any medical professionals who may play here. Not a medical professional but a mathematician. The issue is exponential growth. And if things get out of control it will overwhelme the healthcare system so many of those who would otherwise survive with good healthcare (which is still happening now), would not because the healthcare system would be so over burdened. Here is a chart. I cannot vouch for the exact number's accuracy, but it shows what happens with exponential growth. Reducing infection rates (for example by reducing groups sizes) has major effects. And at this point, COVID is an order of magnitude more infectious than regular flu (we have vaccines and immunities to regular flu). See also this article, (You need to *Login* or *Register* to view media files and links)


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Old Salt Inukshuk Offline Posts: 4871 Location: Crossville, TN Joined: Jun 17^th, 2004	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #3 - Mar 21^st, 2020 at 8:57pm
	The article provides some great information about the spread of the pandemic. My concern is that not enough people are talking the virus seriously, and aren’t willing to do whatever is necessary to combat it. This is the kind of information that is helpful. Thanks for sharing it.


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PhantomJug Voyageur Inukshuk Offline Posts: 2855 Location: 1/2 way there Joined: Feb 12^th, 2003	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #4 - Mar 21^st, 2020 at 9:05pm
	Thanks, Azalea. You may not post much these days but when you do . . .


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mpeebles Inukshuk Offline Posts: 598 Location: Fond du Lac, WI Joined: Feb 26^th, 2018	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #5 - Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 2:49am
	I don't know how to post the link but try googling "Event 201". It's an exercise in what happens during an unexpected pandemic. The excercise was held in Oct. 2019 and I believe was hosted by John Hopkins and others. Pretty good read (w/videos) and chillingly accurate as to what is happening today. Be careful out there.....we had our first death in Fond du Lac, WI a couple of days ago.


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TomT Inukshuk Offline Posts: 1052 Location: Chicago Burbs Joined: Aug 26^th, 2007	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #6 - Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 10:47am
	I've come to the realization that it's going to be like this for quite some time.Let's say after 3 months of people being diligent and no major gatherings have gotten things under control and there's hardly any new cases popping up. So what happens if we go back to life as we knew it? Concerts, baseball games, family picnics, cruises, etc.... I think it's like a dry forest waiting for a lightning strike. IMO we need a vaccine asap. And we need to better prepare this country and the world for the next one.


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Old Salt Inukshuk Offline Posts: 4871 Location: Crossville, TN Joined: Jun 17^th, 2004	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #7 - Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 10:56am
	TomT wrote on Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 10:47am: I've come to the realization that it's going to be like this for quite some time.Let's say after 3 months of people being diligent and no major gatherings have gotten things under control and there's hardly any new cases popping up. So what happens if we go back to life as we knew it? Concerts, baseball games, family picnics, cruises, etc.... I think it's like a dry forest waiting for a lightning strike. IMO we need a vaccine asap. And we need to better prepare this country and the world for the next one. That’s the crux of it. And will things return to ‘normal’? What will the new normal be like? No one saw this coming, or if anyone did, it wasn’t taken seriously. I just had knee replacement surgery last Thursday so staying home is part of the plan.


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Jimbo Voyageur Inukshuk Offline Posts: 4597 Location: Florida Joined: Oct 6^th, 2002	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #8 - Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 1:26pm
	azalea wrote on Mar 21^st, 2020 at 7:58pm: Old Salt wrote on Mar 9^th, 2020 at 7:49pm: I think we can all benefit from information sharing on caronavirus. We especially appreciate information from any medical professionals who may play here. Not a medical professional but a mathematician. The issue is exponential growth. And if things get out of control it will overwhelme the healthcare system so many of those who would otherwise survive with good healthcare (which is still happening now), would not because the healthcare system would be so over burdened. Here is a chart. I cannot vouch for the exact number's accuracy, but it shows what happens with exponential growth. Reducing infection rates (for example by reducing groups sizes) has major effects. And at this point, COVID is an order of magnitude more infectious than regular flu (we have vaccines and immunities to regular flu). See also this article, (You need to *Login* or *Register* to view media files and links) Azalea, This is an EXCELLENT summary of the situation. Thank you for posting that link. Along with what Michael Osterholm has published and what messages Dr. Fauci tries to send us through the fog of politics, it is as good of a statement re: the current situation as I have seen. I have long admired the poetry of math. I believe the following quote says it all: "Without mathematics, there's nothing you can do. Everything around you is mathematics. Everything around you is numbers." Shakuntala Devi Every American should read that link you have shared, especially folks who still insist on "partying", or believing this is a hoax or will go away when it gets warm, or was ever "under control" in the USA. The time for that has past. Now it is time to try to "control the numbers" (ie. flatten the curve). Thanks, again! Jimbo


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TomT Inukshuk Offline Posts: 1052 Location: Chicago Burbs Joined: Aug 26^th, 2007	Re: Covid 19 Updates Reply #9 - Mar 22^nd, 2020 at 2:28pm
	Yes Azalea, thank you for that link. I'm also going to to include this 15 min. exerpt from a podcast of Joe Rogan interviewing Michael Osterholm not long ago. He's a Twin Cities guy and I highly recommend the whole podcast which is on Itunes and you tube as well. He gets into the moose and deer situation in Minnesota as well as where these viruses originate. Good Stuff (You need to *Login* or *Register* to view media files and links)


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