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"I think that's absolutely rediculous and am surprised at the number of people who clearly must forget their own packs frequently enough to think it's a reasonable assumption. Maybe I'm just that amazing, that I've never forgotten a whole pack on a campsite."
Not amazing, just solo. Being solo, or in a small group of 2 or 4 people, or more if all are experienced trippers, it is very unlikely that someone would leave a pack behind.
But consider a larger group, say 9 people ( maybe kids)who are all inexperienced and using an outfitter - likely they pack differently every time they move, and who knows who grabs which pack at camp or at a portage (gee, I thought it was in your canoe ! - when and where did someone see that pack last?) - that is much less unlikely, and I'd guess it happens occasionally.
I once found a pack (boy scout canvas pack on packframe) along a stream I was fishing, about 4 miles from the nearest trailhead - it was in a steep little canyon in very rugged terrain (had to wade parts of the stream to go up the canyon). I was concerned that I didn't see anybody, or any sign of anybody - could be someone got lost (unlikely) or possibly fell and got hurt? For that reason, I looked thru the pack to see if I could tell how long it had been there (and for any ID, which there was none) - it had all the usual camping stuff - cookpots, some food, misc, a big heavy down sleeping bag, etc. None of the food was bad, so I concluded that it must have just been left by a fisherman whom I couldn't see ? When I got home, I checked local sources to see if anyone was missing in that area - nope. Forgot about it, then went back to the same stream a month or more later to fish it again, and there was the pack, right where it had been left earlier. I salvaged the pack and sleeping bag, "buried" the remaining useless stuff in a rockslide, and hauled the heavy stuff out to clean up the woods. I concluded that some newbe had had enough of backpacking, just quit and left his stuff behind on purpose - nothing in there was top of the line gear. Household pots and pans, a Frostline kit down bag (which I still use in my truck in Winter), and the cheap canvas pack gets used every hunting season at one of my camps where I hang my gear up in the trees between trips. That must have been 20 years ago or more.
Another time, me and my Dad found a .22 rifle left against a tree at an unoccupied campsite in the Adirondacks - from the rust accumulated, it seemed that it had been there a week or so - nothing else at the site. We called out, but got no answer - decided to haul it back with us, and left it with the local police. Never heard anymore about it, other than the cop said that people leave stuff in the woods all the time, more than you'd think.
So, no, I don't think it is that farfetched to think that someone might have left a pack behind at a campsite and not bothered to come back for it.
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